Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.703608 1.946696 2.213674 2.528893 2.891236 3.295102 3.779952
2025-08-31 1.326502 1.637482 2.007246 2.480281 3.070816 3.785619 4.719414
2025-09-07 1.135719 1.496956 1.956510 2.586259 3.430431 4.528051 6.071861
2025-09-14 0.973623 1.358031 1.876524 2.630887 3.707113 5.197414 7.435253
2025-09-21 0.831011 1.217922 1.767247 2.609767 3.879914 5.740043 8.701531
2025-09-28 0.700519 1.072470 1.625026 2.513141 3.919478 6.084903 9.718791
2025-10-05 0.647539 1.032793 1.630012 2.633307 4.297779 6.985794 11.729423
2025-10-12 0.603653 0.999767 1.638407 2.756110 4.692363 7.961357 14.008544
2025-10-19 0.554829 0.951171 1.613617 2.817512 4.988115 8.806842 16.187631
2025-10-26 0.510089 0.902994 1.582103 2.860535 5.253526 9.629743 18.445590
2025-11-02 0.454415 0.828269 1.494503 2.789732 5.298846 10.053679 20.005119
2025-11-09 0.396418 0.742124 1.375701 2.644432 5.181213 10.149191 20.921453
2025-11-16 0.359286 0.691889 1.319808 2.617353 5.300629 10.743252 23.000878
2025-11-23 0.323998 0.641018 1.256759 2.568111 5.369300 11.246872 24.979242
2025-11-30 0.309914 0.630343 1.271082 2.678648 5.787495 12.542948 28.938899
2025-12-07 0.290650 0.606695 1.256189 2.725286 6.074047 13.596063 32.525118
2025-12-14 0.267184 0.571377 1.212697 2.703556 6.204130 14.316379 35.440402
2025-12-21 0.239781 0.524361 1.138667 2.603400 6.138557 14.572330 37.245357
2025-12-28 0.232813 0.521561 1.160991 2.728129 6.625224 16.221244 42.933709
2026-01-04 0.226283 0.518932 1.183266 2.855584 7.137261 18.011345 49.333940
2026-01-11 0.215761 0.505785 1.179672 2.919317 7.497628 19.470199 55.093651
2026-01-18 0.204855 0.490448 1.169068 2.963973 7.814900 20.864589 60.934428
2026-01-25 0.188003 0.458763 1.115311 2.890502 7.805425 21.372609 64.246413